1/31/2024 0 Comments Lakers vs nuggets picksThe Lakers will struggle to win offensive, high-scoring affairs, and the Nuggets, despite a better-than-expected defensive performance thus far, will struggle in a slugfest. If you disagree with this play, bet the Lakers moneyline. The Nuggets have the most efficient transition offense left in the league, and they try and set the tone early in home games. Meanwhile, Denver has looked to push pace at home in its own right. They will try and force easy scoring opportunities. The Lakers will dig and scratch at Nikola Jokic on post-ups and at Jamal Murray in pick-and-roll. They've been a low-turnover team in the playoffs, even against a Wolves team built around forcing them - but they also faced the Suns, who hardly forced any at all. The Nuggets were a high turnover team in the regular season, a byproduct of their passing offense. Their half-court offense is mediocre, so the Lakers know they have to push. The Lakers spend 18.4% of their time in transition, the most of the four playoff teams and the sixth most of any playoff team. Los Angeles has the fastest pace of any team left in the playoffs and averages the third-most fast-break points per 100 possessions of the remaining teams. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Nuggets, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.7 per contest.The Lakers are trying to replicate their 2020 bubble run, and as part of that equation, they have to push the pace. The Nuggets get 26.5 points, 12.4 rebounds and 9.3 assists from Nikola Jokic. In 2023-24 Brooklyn is averaging 1.9 fewer points per game at home (114.6) than on the road (116.5). Why LeBron, AD and the Lakers appeared fatigued at end of Game 2. The Nets average 117.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (12th in league), and allow 117.4 points per 100 possessions (21st in NBA). How Jamal Murray’s fourth quarter was the difference in Game 2. The Nets hit 14.7 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league) at a 38.4% rate (third-best in NBA), compared to the 13.7 their opponents make, shooting 36.9% from beyond the arc. The 47.1 rebounds per game Brooklyn accumulates rank second in the NBA, 2.5 more than the 44.6 its opponents collect. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50. The Nets score 115.6 points per game (13th in NBA) and give up 115.3 (19th in league) for a +7 scoring differential overall. SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 229 points. The Nuggets have scored at a much higher rate in home games than away from home in the 2023-24 season (121 at home versus 110.4 on the road), but have surrendered the exact number of points in home games as on the road (110.3 opponent points per game regardless of venue). The Nuggets’ 119.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank ninth in the NBA, and the 114.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 10th in the league. That’s 1.8 more than the 42.9 their opponents average.ĭenver connects on 11.7 three-pointers per game (23rd in the league) at a 37.3% rate (13th in the NBA), compared to the 11.1 its opponents make while shooting 35.7% from deep. The Nuggets rank 10th in the NBA at 44.7 rebounds per game. The Nuggets’ +141 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 115.2 points per game (14th in the NBA) while giving up 110.3 per outing (fourth in the league). The Nets have a 17-9-1 record against the spread this season. Lakers picks SportsLines model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 229 points. The average total for Brooklyn’s games this season is 0.1 fewer points than the point total of 231 for this outing.ĭenver has a 13-15-1 record against the spread this season. The average total the Nuggets have had set in matchups this year is 5.5 fewer points than this outing’s point total. Opponents of the two teams average a combined 5.4 fewer points per game (225.6) than this game’s total of 231 points. The Nuggets and the Nets combine to average 0.2 fewer points per game than the over/under of 231 set for this game. The Nets have a 5-3-1 record against the spread when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this season. The Nuggets are 8-10-1 against the spread when favored by 4.5 points or more this season. Nets? Nuggets and Nets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread Where: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York.
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